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PhDs [SLO]

Postgraduate course, University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Mathematics and Physics, 2020

PhDs [ENG]

Postgraduate course, University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Mathematics and Physics, 2020

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Predicting Tmax from latest radiosonde observations

less than 1 minute read

Published:

In February 2021, in the midst of the second epidemic wave, Doruntina Hoxha joined our atmospheric research group at UL FMF. Welcome, Doruntina! Doruntina will be working on the use of machine learning in subseasonal prediction. Her first task was to evaluate the impact of nighttime radiosonde measurements of temperature and relative humidity on the Tmax and Tmi prediction at the same station for the same day (day 0), the next day (day 1) etc. In the distant future, the neural networks might be able to predict the weather evolution directly from the measurements, without the NWP.

Current state of the water vapour feedback

less than 1 minute read

Published:

The CO2 - water vapour positive climate feedback is real and active. The figure below is showing the meridional-vertical cross-section of the zonally-averaged specific humidity increase based between 1980 and 2018 for ERA5 reanalyses of the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). The yearly-average specific humidity at certain grid point was computed for every year between 1980 to 2018 to estimate the linear trend and the difference between the trendline values are plotted.

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teaching

Meteorological Observations and Instrumentation

Undergraduate course, University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Mathematics and Physics, 2016

The handbook for the course written by dr. Matic Šavli (now Meteo-France), dr. Katarina Kosovelj and me.

Seminarske teme [SLO]

Graduate course, University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Mathematics and Physics, 2020

Spremembe tropske cirkulacije v ogrevajoči se troposferi

Weakening or strengthening of the Hadley Cell?

Master thesis, University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Mathematics and Physics, 2021

Graduate student Matic Pikovnik studied the yearly and monthly trends in Hadley circulation in the ERA5 reanalyses. The climate models and the majority of reanalyses are showing very distinct trends: the former show weakening, while the latter predict strengthening. The most recent argument which favors climate models’ prediction versus that of reanalyses is that the reanalyses overestimate the tropical precipitation, based on the verification with GPCP data. Precipitation is the nearest proxy for condensation heating and vertical motions. Consequently, too strong precipitation would result in enhanced Hadley cell. However, latest ERA5 data verify much better with available precipitation datasets, but still show mild enhancement of the Hadley cell over the 1980-2018 period.

Dynamic meteorology

Graduate course, University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Mathematics and Physics, 2023